Sunday, August 1, 2010

The Proficient Investor

Stock Market News, Contrarian Investing, Stock Picks

Small Caps Lead Rally Despite Jobless Claims

Posted by SmallCapInvestor.com On April - 9 - 2009

Stocks opened in the green this morning and have held their own through Thursday afternoon on news that Wells Fargo issued a surprise profit announcement.

At 12:25 pm ET, the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) is up 18.34, or 2.64%, at 460.46, while the Dow is up 2.22% and the S&P 500 is up 2.53%.

New employment data out today did little tamper the strong rally. New jobless claims fell more than expected to 654,000, while continuing claims set an 11th straight record. The total number of laid-off Americans receiving unemployment rose to 5.84 million, from 5.75 million, the most on record since 1967.

Small-cap A-Power Energy Generation Systems (Nasdaq:APWR) is up a whopping 33% after reporting a surge in Q4 profits. Cardiome Pharma (Nasdaq:CRME) is also up 24% after announcing a licensing agreement for Vernakalant, an investigational candidate for the treatment of atrial fibrillation.

******The minutes from the last FOMC meeting were released Wednesday. You might recall that was the meeting where Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke announced that the Federal Reserve would start buying $1.13 trillion worth of Treasury bills, corporate bonds and consumer debt.

Bernanke didn’t say at the time he was proposing the biggest Fed balance sheet expansion in history, but the members of the Fed lowered their estimates for economic recovery significantly.

The Fed had expected growth to return in the second half of this year and unemployment to top out around 8.8%. At the last meeting, dismal numbers from the start of 2009 prompted recovery expectations to be pushed into 2010, along with upward adjustments in unemployment number expectations.

It makes sense that the Fed took a more negative view of the economy. Why else would it take such a radical step as the balance sheet expansion? And I’ve been saying all along that unemployment will hit double digits before this recession is over.

What is interesting is what the Fed will say next. Bernanke has made some bullish comments over the last few weeks—comments that are somewhat contrary to the minutes from the last FOMC meeting. Perhaps Bernanake was just talking . . .

Related Articles:

Find out what I am doing right now by following me on Twitter! If you like this post then please consider subscribing to my full feed RSS. You can also subscribe by Email and have new posts sent directly to your inbox.

Leave a Reply

Powered by LeapFish

Sponsor

    Penny Stocks Exposed

Daily Deal

300 x 250

Video Clip